After opening at 3-1, Kyle Busch is the 3-2 favorite for NASCAR in Watkins Glen 2018, which conducts Sunday at 3 p.m. ET. It’s the second road course race of the year and Denny Hamlin, recorded at 10-1 NASCAR at Watkins Glen chances, won the pole on Saturday. Busch leads all active drivers with four road course wins, including two at Watkins Glen, but his final win in The Glen was back in 2013. Martin Truex Jr. won GoBowling at The Glen last year and can be recorded at 4-1 odds. Prior to making any 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen picks, you want to find out what SportsLine’s innovative computer model has to say.
The model, built by DFS pro Mike McClure, has a proven track record in multiple sports. In addition, it powers McClure’s DFS projections, which have led him to more than $1 million in career winnings.
McClure, with a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Significant racing events in this way have been in his blood, and his model was crushing its 2018 NASCAR picks.
The model has already made several huge calls this season, nailing the 1-2 finish for Busch and Harvick in the O’Reilly Auto Parts 500 also as Harvick’s win at the KC Masterpiece 400. In addition, it pinpointed five of the top 10 at Bristol and a couple of the top five at Daytona, just to name a few. Anyone following its selections this year is way, way up.
Now that the 2018 NASCAR at Watkins Glen area is secured, SportsLine simulated the event 10,000 times and the results were surprising.
One sudden pick from the model for GoBowling in The Glen 2018: Chase Elliott, obtaining the third-best NASCAR at Watkins Glen odds to win at 6-1, does not sniff the top 10. He is a driver to avoid on Sunday despite his leading starting place of third.
Elliott remains in search of his initial career Monster Energy NASCAR Cup Series win. He has cracked the top 10 in four of his last seven starts, but was just 19th at Chicago and 34th in Daytona a month. Last year at Watkins Glen, Elliott again began near the top in fourth, but finished a disappointing 13th. He clocked the fastest rate (124.520 mph) in the last clinics for GoBowling in The Glen 2018, but the version says he is a favorite to fade.
Another shocker: Truex Jr., getting the second-best chances at 4-1, does not even finish in the top five.
He has had lots of success on road tracks, including winning last year. But he’s a risky pick at these odds because he has an average finish position of 12th in Watkins Glen in his career and has completed 10th or worse in three of his past six races here. There are better values available in this affluent Go Bowling at The Glen area.
Rather, the model is targeting two huge underdogs with chances longer than 30-1 that are poised to make a serious run in the checkered flag, including a monster long shot. Anyone who bets on such underdogs could hit it rich.
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